Brutally Honest #169 by Matej Lancaric
No ๐ฉโ BS newsletter with useful stuff about UA in the post IDFA world
Hey, FAM! Whatโs up?
๐ฅ Drink talk
The second week of the sailing boat trip in Croatia with Katarina & Captain Tuna: Mr. Michal Bubernik is happening now.
and btw ๐ ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐จ๐ป๐น๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฑ: ๐ญ๐ฒ,๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ+ ๐ฆ๐๐ฏ๐๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐! We are officially big enough to start getting ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ on YouTube.
๐ฆฉTip of the week
Everyoneโs hunting for the lowest possible CPI, pulling every trick in the book to get there. The latest Two and a Half Gamers episode dives right in, so letโs break it down:
Social casino games dressed up as idle games.
No casino hints in the app store.
Ad creatives blend right in with the crowd, no obvious social casino vibes.
Whatโs the secret?
Itโs all in the onboarding.
Players start with a โfakeโ idle or sim experience, nowhere near the real core gameplay.
Other examples:
Idle + social casino.
Idle + 4X.
Idle vs simulation.
Match3 + โfakeโ levels.
Onboarding has become the new creative cheat code.
So, whatโs your secret sauce?
This newsletter is brought to you by FastSpring:
Has delivered D2C at scale for over 20 years
They power top mobile publishers around the world
And are reliably fast growing, profitable, and very financially secure.
As a no-drama D2C partner with real-world experience at scale, FastSpring is a partner you can trust with your players.
Quickly launch a new webstore, replace an existing D2C vendor, or add a redundant D2C vendor at fastspring.gg.
๐โ Cornelius: The Suspicious Investi-gator
True detective-like exploration of creative trends and historical influences. Delving deep into the world of creatives to uncover hidden patterns and inspirations:
๐คฎ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ โ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒโ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ฑ๐. Why do these โfake gameplayโ ads work so well? ๐
Simple. Theyโre not selling the real game; theyโre selling pure dopamine.
This video breaks the rules and creates impossible, wild levels youโll never see in the actual app.
๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น ๐ถ๐ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฝ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ.
The player almost makes it, then crashes spectacularly.
Rage. Suspense. FOMO.
Itโs not about honesty, itโs about getting you to stop scrolling and think, โI could do better.โ
Notice the exaggerated UI, fake rewards, and cartoonish obstacles. The pacing is relentless, and the sound effects hit hard.
๐๐โ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป, ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐.
Why does it convert? Curiosity, frustration, and a little bit of trickery.
The audience has to see if the game is really this wild.
They download just to prove they can beat it.
Love it or hate it, this is the creative meta in mobile right now. Unfortunately! ๐คฎ
Fake it until they click it. Or not ๐คทโโ๏ธ
Yours truly, Cornelius.
๐ Dr. Doom is not amused
One of my industry friends amused me with his direct and honest TL;DRs, so we agreed to share it here, too! My friend remains anonymous as Dr.Doom!
"Some sweet pristine doom as former GTA's producer new game releases to catastrophic reviews, which the CEO claimed was a bot conspiracy, duh! obviously. So, making a new GTA from scratch wasn't really the smartest idea? Shocker, who would have guessed, better luck next time, or there won't be next time๐ ? " Sincerely, Doom (https://www.pcgamer.com/gaming-industry/mindseyes-catastrophic-launch-to-be-followed-by-layoffs-at-former-gta-producers-studio/)
๐โ โHa-haโ moment
Because life is too short to be serious.
๐ฎ two & a half gamers new episode
Idle game making $5 MIL/month! ๐ธWell, not exactly an idle game. Carnival Tycoon: The Social Casino Trojan Horse Copying Its Way to the Top
In our latest episode, we break down Carnival Tycoon, the game that starts as a cute idle builder and morphs into a full social casino: spin by spin, upgrade by upgrade.
Hereโs the truth:
Every mechanic, from slot spins to collectible cards, is ripped straight from Coin Master and Monopoly Go
5 million a month in revenue, top five by size, but nowhere near the stingy, genius LiveOps of the market leaders
The creatives? Gross, shit, all the trends, flip the numbers, โborrowโ the hooks, call it AI if you must. Its all there!
Store visuals? Only idle, top UA creatives, no social casino at all.
Idle features hook the casuals, but the real money comes from casino endgame and slot machine churn
Carnival Tycoon is the definition of a Trojan Horse onboarding: start light, end heavy, and always copy what works..
๐บ Watch on YouTube
๐ง Listen on Spotify
๐ Get our Merch: 25gamers.com/shop
Drive measurable growth with the most intuitive Streaming TV Ad Platformโdesigned to maximize ROAS for apps of all sizes. Learn more!
๐ค Paid subs only
Sneak peek at what you get for your support:
๐Q1 2025 Brutally Honest UA report - Real Data inside!
Hey there, Matej here! Welcome to the most brutally honest look at mobile game UA youโll read this quarter. This report isnโt just another round-up of trends โ itโs built on real campaign data, survey responses from hundreds of UA pros, and my experience running UA for some of the hottest games.
What Merge Games are doing RIGHT in their ads
You know whatโs wild? Merge games: those innocent-looking puzzle builders are out here running some of the most effective, most chaotic, and most drama-filled mobile ads on the market right now.
THE Soft launch Bible: Full 2025 blueprint with real data!
Soft launching a mobile game in 2025 remains one of the smartest strategic moves you can make before a full global release. With the mobile gaming market now even more saturatedโand user acquisition costs still climbingโa well-planned soft launch can be the difference between success and failure.
THE Creative Bible: How to win in 2025?
Let's just dive directly into the creative framework for 2025
๐ฆโ Diary of a Dancing Unicorn
Today was a good day.
Hey, I wanted to reach out after seeing your post about the gameโs marketing success. Just to clarify, my team managed all paid UA and creative strategy from its early days through acquisition, and only recently transitioned things to the new team. Other teams tried handling UA a couple of times, but the results werenโt the same. Weโre not after public credit, just want the record straight. Could you update your post to reflect that we handled the paid adsโ success, not the new marketing team?
Thanks for the message and for letting me know. I get your point. Next time, feel free to comment on the post, too.
I thought reaching out privately was a better way to handle it. I didnโt want it to seem confrontational right away. I appreciate you hearing me out.
hmmm.. Honestly, a quick โhey, can you update this, since our team did itโ would have been enough.
Fair enough. So, could you please make the change?
Done, commented already.
But no, you should edit the original post.
Jesus fucking Christ.
Today was a good day.
๐คบโ Quote of the week
"You are still on a boat? I feel like you are sailing already for a monthโ - Peter, DM
Carnival Tycoon review
๐ง The Song of the Week
We launchedย a music album. Yes, that's correct. We are putting a ton of energy into creating valuable (and crazy) content that I think you'll like. Check out theย latest songs, and give us aย like and subscribe. Play ehm. Listen now!
๐พโ THE AI (R)EVOLUTION
The AI revolution is here, and itโs transforming the way we approach mobile games marketing.
From creating scroll-stopping ad creatives to optimizing user acquisition strategies, AI is the game-changer we canโt ignore.
๐ฅฆโ Before you go
Ask Matej AI a question. Itโs actually quite good!
We produced one more episode at 2.5 Gamers. Check it out now:
We are also starting a new segment. Give it a go:
๐ฟ Fun starts in two & a half gamers Slack! Join now
We are opening up a Slack channel for everybody. It is the most inclusive slack for the gaming industry. Female, male, non-binary, juniors, mid-level, seniors, vendors, developers = EVERYBODY! We are waiting for you โฅ๏ธ
Feel free to join here!
๐ง Thanks for reading this weekโs newsletter!
Please do me a favor and share this with someone in your network who you think would benefit from the insights and brutal honesty. It would mean a lot to me!
Take care, everyone! See you next Monday!
๐ Reach out for feedback, questions, or say hi!
Give me some love (or hate), & Subscribe everywhere! โฅ๏ธ